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2024-12-14 06:35:55

Yesterday, after-hours heavy meeting enlarged the move, Hong Kong stocks and A50 futures index rose violently, and even the mid-night stocks rose by more than 8%, and the market was full of fanatical voices. However, Lao Liu is still calm, suggesting that there is a high probability of going high and going low, and it should be dealt with by high throwing and low sucking. Today, the market opened higher and closed the false negative line, which once again verified my judgment. Will the stock market continue to fall tomorrow?As for blue chips and white horses, because of today's high opening and low walking rhythm, they need to be repaired next. If they can't be quickly reversed, they will need to be shaken and consolidated for a few days. The style switch that should have been completed in November continued until December, and it was still a chaotic rhythm. Lao Liu judged that the aesthetics based on fundamentals, changing hands and trends would once again prevail.In terms of sectors, the mapping direction of Hong Kong stocks, such as finance, consumption and Internet technology, led the gains yesterday, but the traditional industries basically turned green, with coal, railways and highways and precious metals leading the declines. Most of the plates and themes in it are high-opening and low-walking, and the only eye-catching thing is that the robot has turned from weak to strong again. It can be said that today it is not cheat people to suck only in this direction.


Look at the data first. The number of individual stocks in the two cities rose by 2,890, while the number of individual stocks fell by 2,280. Today, although the index opened higher and went lower, it collapsed, but individual stocks still rose more and fell less. Looking at the time-sharing handicap, today's opening is the climax, and the opening at 3490 is only 10 points away from the opening at 3500, which is another day in great escape.As for blue chips and white horses, because of today's high opening and low walking rhythm, they need to be repaired next. If they can't be quickly reversed, they will need to be shaken and consolidated for a few days. The style switch that should have been completed in November continued until December, and it was still a chaotic rhythm. Lao Liu judged that the aesthetics based on fundamentals, changing hands and trends would once again prevail.Reason one: the favorable expectations of the conference still exist, and it is difficult for the market to fall sharply under the stability. In fact, as I said in the morning post, expectations are always expectations, which are good in the medium and long term, but too strong short-term consistency can easily lead to a rebellious market. After all, this market is still driven by funds, otherwise it will be moderately relaxed in 11 years, and it will not be doubled after 14 years of wide credit!


Reason 3: the technical upward trend will not change, and it will continue to hit a new high after shock consolidation. Yesterday, Lao Liu suggested that it is necessary to do high-throwing and low-sucking treatment if it is too high and high-opening. The key is that the closing price cannot be higher than 3489.78 points. Now, to be honest, everything is just right. At present, the market is still standing above the 5-day line, and there is no structural pressure above it, which is also the technical basis for my small high point.Reason 2: the market style is still quite chaotic, and the main line of robots is difficult to support. Originally, it was expected that the blue chip and the white horse would set up a stage, and then the theme line would sing. As a result, today, both the weak robots and the food consumption with high opening and low walking showed signs of stagflation, and then it was crucial. Once these two new main lines were exhausted, it was estimated that they would face a chaotic cycle of rotation again.Reason 2: the market style is still quite chaotic, and the main line of robots is difficult to support. Originally, it was expected that the blue chip and the white horse would set up a stage, and then the theme line would sing. As a result, today, both the weak robots and the food consumption with high opening and low walking showed signs of stagflation, and then it was crucial. Once these two new main lines were exhausted, it was estimated that they would face a chaotic cycle of rotation again.

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